There is a familiar rhythm to Nigeria’s public debates whenever prices rise: find a villain, shout “taxes,” and hope the noise drowns out the facts. That script is being replayed yet again—this time by the Chairman of Air Peace, Allen Onyema, who has warned that domestic airfares could climb to ₦1 million if new tax laws are implemented.
It is a frightening claim. It is also reckless, misleading, and at this point, predictable.
Nigerians are struggling. Families plan journeys months ahead, students skip trips home, and businesses cut travel entirely. To exploit that anxiety with exaggerated forecasts is not advocacy; it is alarmism. And it deserves to be called out plainly.
The Truth Nigerians Are Not Being Told
Here is the uncomfortable truth, Onyema keeps skating around: Nigeria already removed taxes on air tickets—and fares exploded anyway.
Under the Finance Act 2019, effective 1st February 2020, the Federal Government:
Removed VAT on domestic and international air tickets
Removed VAT and customs duties on imported aircraft, spare parts, and engines
This was real relief. It costs government revenue. It was meant to help airlines and passengers alike.
At the time, Lagos–Abuja tickets averaged ₦50,000–₦60,000.
Today—years after those concessions—those same tickets routinely sell for ₦300,000 to ₦500,000, sometimes more.
Taxes did not go up. They went down. Airfares did the opposite.
That single fact shatters the claim that taxation is the villain. Any narrative that ignores it is not honest—it is manipulative.
Let Us Stop Insulting the Intelligence of Nigerians
Nigerians understand hardship. What they reject is being misled.
Airfares are rising because:
The naira has weakened against the dollar.
Aviation fuel prices are volatile.
Aircraft are leased and maintained offshore.
Banks lend at crushing interest rates.
Capacity is limited, and routes are concentrated.
None of these problems are created by the Federal Inland Revenue Service. None is fixed by shouting “VAT.” FIRS do not set ticket prices. FIRS do not buy aircraft. FIRS do not sell Jet A1.
Yet, it is repeatedly dragged into the dock—accused, tried, and convicted in the court of public opinion—by the same voices who refuse to explain their own pricing decisions.
Selective Morality and Convenient Standards
Onyema invokes the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) when it suits him, quoting “cost recovery” as though it was a ban on regulation or statutory charges. It is not.
Every serious aviation market pays for safety oversight, air navigation, and regulation. Nigeria is not unique. What is unique is the attempt to present standard charges as persecution while remaining silent on profit structures, route dominance, and capacity control.
This selective morality is not leadership. It is deflection.
A Pattern That Can No Longer Be Ignored
This is not a one-off comment made in frustration. It is part of a pattern: whenever fares rise, taxes are blamed. Whenever taxes are removed, fares still rise—and the silence is deafening.
That pattern is now being closely watched.
Nigerians should ask a simple question: If taxes were removed and prices still quadrupled, why should we believe that taxes are the problem today?
Transparency Must Be for Everyone
Public criticism of tax policy is legitimate. But it comes with responsibility. Those who repeatedly attack Nigeria’s tax system and its institutions should not be treated as untouchable moral referees. Under the Freedom of Information Act, Nigerians have the right to transparency on matters of public interest.
In that spirit, and strictly within the bounds of the law, there is a strong public case for the Federal Inland Revenue Service to clarify the tax compliance status of major corporate entities whose owners dominate the public space with anti-tax rhetoric.
This is not persecution. It is accountability.
If taxation is the problem, then compliance should not be a secret.
Why This Matters
Nigeria is trying—imperfectly but necessarily—to reform its economy. Revenue is tight. Social needs are expanding. Institutions are under strain.
When influential business figures choose fear over facts, they do real damage.
They erode trust in public institutions. They poison policy debate. They inflame public anger without offering solutions
Aviation is too important to Nigeria’s unity and economy to be reduced to scare tactics and sound bites.
The Bottom-Line Nigerians Deserve to Hear
Airfares in Nigeria did not rise because of VAT. They rose after VAT was removed.
Until those who dominate this debate confront that reality honestly, warnings of ₦1 million tickets will remain what they are: headline-grabbing exaggerations that collapse under basic scrutiny.
Nigerians Deserve Truth.
They deserve transparency. And they deserve better than being frightened into silence by those who refuse to answer the hard questions themselves.
Bukar Mohammed, a public analyst and commentator, is based in Kano
