Analysis-What’s At Stake For Trump And Haley In New Hampshire’s Primary?
The Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire on Tuesday offersintrigue.
While it will provide an opportunity for frontrunner Donald Trump to demonstrate that he may be unstoppable in his march to the Republicanalso gives challenger Nikki Haley a shot to show that Trump can be vulnerable.
The contest between Trump and Haley is expected to be closer thanIowa last week. Trump vanquished Haley, who served as his United Nations ambassador, and his other remaining rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, by 30 percentage points in the state’s caucuses.
DeSantis dropped out of the race on Sunday, giving Haley the two-person primary contest she
Here’s a look at the stakes for Trump and Haley ahead of the New Hampshire vote:
The former president has held packed rallies in New Hampshire virtually every day in the run-up to the primary, a hectic pace for a candidate who usually prefers to pick his spots. But there’s a simple reason why. He wantsBadly.
Trump and his aides want to convince Haley, her voters and her donors as well as the media covering thethat the race is over and Trump will be the nominee. Get aboard the train.
Trump beating Haley by a significant margin woulda long way toward accomplishing that.
Conversely, the Trump campa close finish would send the opposite signal – that a hefty portion of the Republican electorate is still looking for someone else.
Haley would claim momentum headingnext month’s primary in her home state of South Carolina, where she was governor. Money in to keep her bid alive.
That’s a worst-case scenario for Trump, but he would remain the favorite for the nomination to take on Democratic President Joe Biden in November regardless.
A win by Haley in New Hampshire woulda political earthquake.
An upset would wipe away the aura of inevitabilityTrump has carried for months, and it would energize the anti-Trump forces in the party.
Haley could then proceed to South Carolina as a viable Trumpthat she represents the future of the party and he the past.
A close second-place finish by Haley wouldn’t quite accomplish the same thing but stillallow her to contend that the anti-Trump vote should coalesce around her now that DeSantis is out of the
PollsDeSantis’ supporters are more likely to switch to Trump than Haley. But DeSantis’ exit gives Haley the opportunity to chase voters who want to turn the page on Trump and install a generation of leadership.
Whether a strong showing in New Hampshire would ultimately help her compete with Trump in South Carolina and down the roadto be she would have a legitimate in the fight.
A convincing Trump victory wouldHaley, robbing her of any claim viability. It would show that Trump’s support is so broad across the party that